Gold Cup Semifinals 2025: Urgent Mexico vs. Honduras Odds & Tips

The semifinals of the 2025 Gold Cup are upon us, and defending champions Mexico are on the verge of another title defense.

Having advanced through the group stage without a loss and eliminating Saudi Arabia in the quarterfinals, El Tri is gearing up for a clash against Honduras, who recently secured a thrilling victory over Panama via penalties.

Under the guidance of Javier “Vasco” Aguirre, Mexico sidestepped a potentially challenging match against the U.S., their rivals from the previous Gold Cup final and this year’s Nations League finale. Instead, they will face a Honduran squad eager to continue their surprising journey.

As per Paddy Power, Mexico is heavily favored to advance to the final, with odds of 1/4. In contrast, Honduras stands as significant underdogs at 9/1, with the draw listed at 15/4.

The Sporting News shares insights on betting odds and predictions to enhance the excitement of the match.

OFFER: Receive a £30 free bet with a £5 wager when signing up for a new account at Paddy Power. Click for more details. 

Forecast for Mexico vs. Honduras, betting tips, and odds

Raul Jimenez to score at any time: 7/5 (Betway)

Despite scoring only once this tournament, in the opener against the Dominican Republic, Jimenez has a strong history against Honduras. He netted a goal in their Nations League quarterfinal meeting in late 2024, where Mexico won 4-0. Given his experience and goal-scoring instincts, he appears poised for another goal.

Mexico to score more than 2.5 goals: 9/5 (Betway)

Mexico’s only match without a goal in this tournament was a goalless draw against Costa Rica. Since then, they have scored three against the Dominican Republic and two each against Suriname and Saudi Arabia. Coupled with their four-goal outburst against Honduras previously, this option holds considerable appeal for those anticipating another high-scoring performance from El Tri.

Enjoy a £30 free matched bet if your first accumulator fails, plus a £30 Uber Eats voucher for newcomers.           

Projected lineups and team updates for Mexico vs. Honduras

Mexico has suffered a setback with the loss of midfielder Luis Chavez due to a torn ACL, which he sustained in training ahead of the Saudi Arabia fixture. This may lead to increased playtime for Marcel Ruiz and Erik Lira, both of whom have shown great promise.

Cesar Montes will return from suspension due to yellow card accumulation, while Jesus Gallardo will miss this match for the same reason. No other players are at risk of suspension as the card counts reset for the semifinals.

The standout performer for Mexico in the Gold Cup has been winger Alexis Vega, who has taken over the starting left flank from Orbelin Pineda. On the opposite side, Julian Quinones, Roberto Alvarado, and Cesar Huerta have all had chances, but none has firmly secured the position.

Aguirre’s most significant decision will be regarding the striker position, where he has experimented with starting Raul Jimenez and Santiago Gimenez together as well as opting for one or the other.

• Predicted Mexico XI (4-3-3, right to left): Malagon (GK) — Araujo, Montes, Reyes, Vasquez — Ruiz, Alvarez, Lira — Alvarado, Jimenez, Vega.

Injured: Chavez (ACL), Angulo (undisclosed).
Suspended: Gallardo (yellow cards).

Honduras brings a majority of their experienced international players to the 2025 Gold Cup, including goalkeeper Luis Lopez, midfielder Alexander Lopez, forward Romell Quioto, and captain Anthony Lozano, all boasting over 50 international caps. However, they recently lost winger Rigoberto Rivas to a muscle injury, with Dixon Ramirez stepping in as a replacement.

Lozano initially started on the bench in the match against Canada, but came on at halftime for Jorge Benguche and scored the equalizer, indicating he may start this upcoming match. A potential change could occur on the right side, as substitute Luis Palma assisted his goal in the previous match after taking over for Edwin Rodriguez.

Head coach Reinaldo Rueda faces the decision of choosing between Jorge Alvarez or Romell Quioto for the No. 10 role, with both contributing in this tournament.

• Predicted Honduras XI (4-2-3-1, right to left): Menjivar (GK) — Crisanto, Maldonado, J. Martinez, Rosales — Flores, Arriaga — Palma, Quioto, J. Alvarez — Lozano.

Injured: Rivas (muscle).
Suspended: None.

Predicted score and likely outcomes for Mexico vs. Honduras

Here are some of the expected outcomes for this semi-final match in the CONCACAF Gold Cup, according to Paddy Power.

Viewing details for Mexico vs. Honduras in the CONCACAF Gold Cup

• Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
• Venue: Levi’s Stadium, San Francisco, CA
• Time: 3:00 a.m. BST
• TV/Streaming: Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports 2

RELATED LINKS:

• Guide to betting on football
• Latest tips for Club World Cup betting
• Who will emerge victorious in the Club World Cup? Current odds