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Live Forecast: Who Will Win Super Tuesday?

Live Forecast: Who Will Win Super Tuesday?

A forecast uses partial returns to estimate an election’s final result. Read more »

We stopped updating these forecasts at 4:15 a.m. Eastern time on Wed., March 4. Follow the latest results here.

Live Estimates of Cumulative Delegates

These estimates reflect our best guess at the delegate count through contests held on Super Tuesday. They include delegates won in previous contests.

Est. delegate share
Best guess
5%
50% of outcomes
95%
Delegate majority

Est. Delegates

Share

Joseph R. Biden Jr.Biden

-

-

-

Bernie SandersSanders

-

-

-

Michael R. BloombergBloomberg

-

-

-

Elizabeth WarrenWarren

-

-

-

Pete ButtigiegButtigieg

-

-

-

Tom SteyerSteyer

-

-

-

Amy KlobucharKlobuchar

-

-

-

Our Best Guess of Who Will Win Each State

Est. margin
Best guess
5%
50% of outcomes
95%

Est. Votes

NYT Estimate

Winner?

Races that have been called:

Est. Votes

NYT Estimate

Winner

Where Votes Remain

For places that have not yet reported all their votes, we make an educated guess based on the results so far and what we know about the people who live in those places. Click on a candidate’s name to see our estimates for just their votes.

Leader margin

All votes

Biden

Sanders

Bloomberg

Warren

Buttigieg

Steyer

Klobuchar

Circle size is proportional to the amount each county’s leading candidate is ahead.

Where votes have been counted

CANDIDATE
Votes counted
PCT.
Biden-
-
-
Sanders-
-
-
Bloomberg-
-
-
Warren-
-
-
Buttigieg-
-
-
Steyer-
-
-
Klobuchar-
-
-

Where we think votes remain

CANDIDATE
Est. votes remaining
PCT.
Biden-
-
-
Sanders-
-
-
Bloomberg-
-
-
Warren-
-
-
Buttigieg-
-
-
Steyer-
-
-
Klobuchar-
-
-