Brian Jeffrey
Typhoon Yinxing is on track to reach the East Sea in the next two days, marking the seventh storm of the season. The heavy rainfall affecting Central Vietnam is shifting southward and is expected to wane by November 8.
Earlier today, Vu Anh Tuan, Deputy Director at the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, shared insights about Typhoon Yinxing and the persistent downpours in Central Vietnam.
As of 10:00 AM, Mr. Tuan reported that Typhoon Yinxing, currently near Luzon Island in the Philippines, boasts maximum winds of 134-149 km/h, categorizing it as a strong storm with gusts reaching Category 16, while moving northwest at approximately 15 km/h.
“The latest forecast indicates Typhoon Yinxing is expected to enter the eastern portion of the northern East Sea around November 8, marking it as the seventh storm this season,” Mr. Tuan explained.
Upon entering the northern East Sea, the storm will likely have winds categorized between 12-13. However, variations in the storm’s strength may occur due to colder sea conditions and the influence of a cold front, particularly near the northeastern Hoang Sa (Paracel) archipelago.
Predictions for November 8-10 show Yinxing moving northeast toward the northern Hoang Sa area, then transitioning southwestward. Residents are advised to stay informed about possible shifts in the storm’s trajectory and intensity.
The storm is set to produce strong winds in the eastern East Sea, initially at Category 6-7, which may escalate to Category 8-10 by the evening of November 7. Areas closest to the storm could experience winds of Category 11-13 and waves reaching 4-8 meters, posing hazards to marine operations.
The following day, Yinxing is expected to change direction again, moving west-northwest at about 15 km/h. By 7:00 PM on November 9, its center should be situated approximately 320 km northeast of the Hoang Sa Islands, likely diminishing to Category 12 with gusts up to Category 14.
In the timeframe from 72 to 120 hours post-update, the storm may switch to a west-southwest path at 10-15 km/h, with a continuing decrease in intensity.
When Yinxing arrives in the northern East Sea, it is forecasted to encounter a cold front and cooler sea temperatures, contributing to its weakening, especially as it nears the northeastern waters of the Hoang Sa archipelago.
Changes in Heavy Rain Patterns in Central Vietnam
Mr. Vu Anh Tuan also observed that the regions experiencing heavy rain in Central Vietnam have shifted southward as of last night, now impacting areas below the Hai Van Pass due to winds from the east and a descending cold front.
Rainfall between Thua Thien-Hue to Binh Dinh has been recorded at 50-100 mm, with some locations in Quang Nam, Quang Ngai, and northern Binh Dinh surpassing 200 mm. This rain pattern is expected to continue moving southward toward Khanh Hoa by November 7, with most areas seeing 50-100 mm and some regions potentially exceeding 200 mm.
Specific areas may receive intense rain, resulting in 100 mm over six hours, creating risks for flash floods, landslides, and urban flooding in lower regions.
Precipitation is anticipated to persist from Quang Nam to Khanh Hoa through November 7, featuring sporadic heavy showers. Areas from Quang Tri to Da Nang will see lighter rainfall, ranging from 30-80 mm. Heavy downpours are expected to reduce by the night of November 7, with an overall end to heavy rainfall in Central Vietnam predicted by November 8.
Moreover, scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecasted in Ninh Thuan, Binh Thuan, the Central Highlands, and southern Vietnam, with rainfall expected between 15-80 mm, targeting localized heavy downpours in northern Central Highlands.
The weather agency alerts that sudden and localized heavy rainfall could result in flooding in lower-lying areas, flash floods on small waterways, and landslides in hilly regions.
Bao Anh
