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Tropical Depression on the Horizon: Rainy Days Ahead for HCM City

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Upcoming Weather Forecast for Ho Chi Minh City

In the next ten days, the forecast for Ho Chi Minh City indicates a mix of a diminishing cold front and a low-pressure system forming in the East Sea, which could result in unexpected rainfall in the area.

The Southern Regional Hydrometeorological Center predicts that on February 11, temperatures will reach a high of 32-33°C. Areas like Can Gio, Nha Be, Cu Chi, Hoc Mon, and Binh Chanh might see sporadic showers.

Unusual rain patterns are likely to expand on February 12-13, with a 55-60% chance of rain, tapering off by February 14.

Weather Influences from February 11-20:

  • A retreating cold air mass moving east
  • A developing low-pressure system in the East Sea that may evolve into a tropical depression
  • An easterly wind disturbance anticipated by mid-February

From February 11-13, scattered rainfall is expected due to the interaction of cold air and the tropical low-pressure system. Another rainfall event might occur from February 17-20 because of easterly winds pushing inland.

Following this period, the weather is expected to be mainly dry.

Overall, a slight increase in temperatures is forecasted compared to last week.

  • Daytime temperatures: 31-35°C
  • Nighttime temperatures: 21-25°C
  • Weekly rainfall: 10-50mm, aligning with historical averages

In coastal regions near Ho Chi Minh City, occasional rain and thunderstorms can be anticipated, accompanied by strong winds and possible waterspouts. Wind conditions are expected to fluctuate:

  • Beginning of the week: Variable winds at force 4-5
  • End of the week: Northeast winds at force 4-5

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting stated that as of 1 PM on February 11, a low-pressure area in the southern East Sea was positioned at 9.5-10.5°N latitude and 112.5-113.5°E longitude.

Forecast for the Next 24 Hours:

This system is expected to move slowly toward the northwest and may intensify into a tropical depression, which could lead to rough sea conditions and strong winds.

Impact on Regional Weather:

Scattered thunderstorms are predicted over the central and southern East Sea, including the Spratly Islands, and in coastal areas from Binh Dinh to Ninh Thuan. Some storms may produce waterspouts and winds of force 6-7.

Authorities are monitoring the developments closely and have advised fishermen and maritime operators to remain updated on potential changes.


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