Brian Jeffrey
Typhoon Man-yi has struck Luzon Island in the Philippines, now downgraded from a super typhoon to a less severe storm. It is set to move into the East Sea late tonight or early tomorrow, marking it as Storm No. 9 for the 2024 storm season.
As reported by the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF), Typhoon Man-yi was centered on Luzon Island as of 7:00 PM on November 17. The storm’s peak wind speeds near the center were around level 14 (150-166 km/h), with gusts reaching level 17. It is advancing northwest at about 25 km/h.
In the coming day, the storm is expected to maintain its northwest trajectory at a speed of 20-25 km/h, entering the East Sea and transitioning to Storm No. 9 of the rainy season.
By 7:00 PM on November 18, the storm’s center should be located over the northern part of the East Sea, approximately 470 km northeast of the Hoang Sa Archipelago, where it is anticipated to weaken to level 11 with gusts at level 14.
24-96 Hour Forecast:
– 24-72 hours: Man-yi will shift south-southwest at 5-10 km/h and will gradually weaken into a tropical depression.
– 72-96 hours: The tropical depression is forecast to dissipate into a low-pressure zone.
Meteorologists expect that upon entering the East Sea, Typhoon Man-yi will engage with the cold air currently moving through Vietnam, leading to a swift reduction in its strength.
Despite losing strength, the storm is projected to bring adverse conditions to the northern East Sea, including:
– Winds of levels 8-10, escalating to levels 11-13 near the storm center, with gusts up to level 15.
– Wave heights reaching 3-5 meters, potentially rising to 5-7 meters near the center.
– Dangerous thunderstorms, squalls, and turbulent seas.
Maritime vessels in these regions should be prepared for severe weather. Additionally, the meteorological agency reports that a cold air mass moving southward is set to affect parts of northeastern North Vietnam tonight, affecting other areas in North, North-Central, and parts of Central Vietnam by the next day.
– Inland regions will see northeast winds at level 3, while coastal areas may experience level 4 winds.
– From November 18 onward, mornings and evenings in northeastern regions and Thanh Hoa will become cooler. By November 20, North and North-Central Vietnam will face cold mornings and evenings, with temperatures dropping to 18-20°C, and potentially below 15°C in mountainous regions.
– In the Gulf of Tonkin: From November 18, northeast winds will escalate to level 6, with gusts at levels 7-8. The sea conditions will deteriorate, with wave heights between 2-3.5 meters.
– In the northern East Sea (including areas near the Hoang Sa Archipelago): Winds will reach levels 6-7, with gusts at levels 8-9, resulting in rough seas and waves of 2-4 meters.
Moreover, disturbances caused by high-altitude easterly winds in combination with the cold air could result in rain and thunderstorms across parts of North and Central-Central Vietnam from early November 18 to 19, with some areas experiencing heavy rainfall.
